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| Risk (High to Low) and Yearly Probability Being injured on the job 1 in 49 Dying from heart disease 1 in 384 Illness or death from pneumonia 1 in 4,300 Illness or death from the flu 1 in 130,000 Dying from choking 1 in 200,000 Acquiring a food-borne infection from fruit or vegetables 1 in 375,000 Being struck by lightning 1 in 550,000 Illness or death from the chicken pox 1 in 4.4 million Dying from a bee sting 1 in 6 million Acquiring resistant Campylobacter from macrolide- treated poultry which results in treatment failure <1 in 14 million Dying from a dog bite 1 in 18 million Acquiring resistant Campylobacter from macrolide- treated swine which results in treatment failure <1 in 53 million Acquiring resistant Campylobacter from macrolide- treated beef which results in treatment failure <1 in 236 million Acquiring resistant E. faecium from macrolide- treated poultry which results in treatment failure <1 in 3 billion Acquiring resistant E. faecium from macrolide- treated swine which results in treatment failure <1 in 21 billion Acquiring resistant E. faecium from macrolide- treated beef which results in treatment failure <1 in 29 billion Definition: Treatment failure is defined as longer duration of symptoms such as diarrhea; progression to more severe disease; or in the worst-case scenario, mortality. Sources: 1.Gray, G. and Ropeik, D. The Harvard Center for Risk Analysis. What Me Worry? Appearing in the Boston Globe, November 11, 2001. 2.Ropeik D. et al. (2002). RISK! A Practical Guide for Deciding What’s Really Safe and What’s Really Dangerous in the World Around You. Houghton Mifflin Company, Boston, 2002. 3.Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Surveillance for Foodborne Disease Outbreaks – United States, 1993-1997. 4.Hurd, H. S., et al. (2003). The Public Health Consequences of Macrolide Use in Food Animals: A Deterministic Risk Assessment. Journal of Food Protection, 67:5, 980-992. Dr Ian Lean applauds new Australian research. A note to journalists about the use of Dr Ian Lean as a spokesperson. You can find out more about Ian Lean on his corporate pages. The full (337 page) report is available here. The recent release from McDonalds is here. |